There are only three days left until the 2019 General Elections on April 28 are held. A few weeks ago we already saw several of the main electoral programs of the parties with the highest representation in polls and electoral polls. With just 72 hours until the 2019 Elections are held, the different studies and specialized newspapers have already published their respective electoral surveys of 28A on the Internet to predict who will win the elections, and this time we have made a compilation of all of them to know the voting intention of the citizens residing in Spain to know which party will win the 28A Elections.
What the CIS barometer says
In mid-March, the CIS published its now usual barometer with a representative voting intention that includes the minimum and maximum number of seats won per party .
In this case, the barometer gives the PSOE the winning force, with 30.2% of the total votes . Given that the seats needed to obtain an absolute majority amount to 176, the Partido Obrero would need other confluences such as United Podemos, ERC, PNV and JxCat to obtain the Presidency of the Government.
- PSOE : 30.2% of total votes (from 123 to 138 seats)
- PP : 17.2% of total votes (from 66 to 67 seats)
- United We Can : 13% of the total votes (from 33 to 41 seats)
- Citizens : 13.6% of the total votes (from 42 to 51 seats)
- VOX : 11.9% of total votes (from 29 to 37 seats)
- ERC : 4.5% of total votes (from 17 to 18 seats)
- PNV : 1.3% of total votes (6 seats)
- JxCat : 1.2% of the total votes (4-5 seats)
What El País electoral polls say
With more than 15,000 simulations, the newspaper El País also joins the electoral polls to see which party will win the 28A Elections by publishing its respective electoral poll.
Once again, the PSOE is the winning political force, with an average of 129 seats. As in the CIS barometer, it would need the union of other left-wing parties to get the government , since the right-wing forces (PP, Ciudadanos and VOX) would not reach the minimum number of seats to obtain the Presidency.
- PSOE : 129 seats on average
- PP : 78 seats on average
- United We Can : 35 seats on average
- Citizens : 46 seats on average
- VOX : 30 seats on average
- Others : 32 seats on average
What ABC's 28A Election Polls Say
The GAD3 agency under the order of the ABC gives as the winning force the party led by Pedro Sánchez with 31% of the total votes.
As in the CIS barometer and the El País 28A polls, it would need the confluence of the party of Pablo Iglesias and Oriol Junqueras to achieve an absolute majority and, therefore, the Government.
- PSOE : 31.5% of total votes (from 134 to 139 seats)
- PP : 20.1% of the total votes (from 81 to 86 seats)
- United We Can : 12.1% of total votes (27 seats)
- Citizens : 13.0% of total votes (from 42 to 44 seats)
- VOX : 11.4% of total votes (from 30 to 32 seats)
- ERC : 3.3% of total votes (13 seats)
- PNV : 1.2% of total votes (6 seats)
- JxCat : 1.2% of total votes (4 seats)
- Bildu : 0.9% of the total votes (2 seats)
- PACMA : 1.3% of total votes (0 seats)
- Commitments : 0.4% of total votes (1 seat)
- Navarra Sum : 0.5% of total votes (2 seats)
What the Electoral Polls Say about the El Periódico Elections
A very similar picture is painted in the El Periódico polls published on April 22 by the same newspaper.
In this case, the PSOE would need at least three parties to achieve an absolute majority , since the sum with United We Can and ERC would not obtain the minimum to obtain the Presidency. The right would once again move away from the 176 minimum seats to obtain an absolute majority.
- PSOE : 128 seats on average
- PP : 83 seats on average
- United We Can : 32 seats on average
- Citizens : 49 seats on average
- VOX : 26 seats on average
- ERC : 13 seats on average
- PDECat : 5 seats on average
- PNV : 6 seats on average
- Others : 8 seats on average
What the 28A polls of La Razón say
La Razón newspaper paints a picture very similar to that of other national newspapers.
The survey carried out on April 20 by NC Report gives rise to the union between PSOE, United We Can, ERC and PNV or PDECat to converge in a force with an absolute majority. The right again would not obtain the minimum number of votes to obtain the Presidency with the sum of Pablo Casado, Albert Rivera and Santiago Abascal.
- PSOE : 28.1% of total votes (from 116 to 118 seats)
- PP : 23.8% of total votes (from 100 to 101 seats)
- United We Can : 13% of the total votes (from 34 to 38 seats)
- Citizens : 14.9% of the total votes (50 seats)
- VOX : 9% of total votes (13-14 seats)
- ERC : 2.9% of total votes (from 13 to 14 seats)
- Commitments : 1.5% of the total votes (3 seats)
- PNV : 1.3% of total votes (6 seats)
- PDECat : 1.4% of the total votes (5 seats)
- Bildu : 1.3% of the total votes (6 seats)
- Canarian Coalition : 0.3% of total votes (1 seat)
- Nós : 0.4% of total votes (2 seats)
What the electoral polls say of Elections 28A of La Sexta
In the case of La Sexta, the study prepared by InviMark the week of April 15 gives percentage results very similar to those of the week of April 8, with a decrease in votes that affects all political forces , except of the PSOE, which grows one point, and VOX, which remains at the same 12.7%.
- PSOE : 28.1% of total votes
- PP : 20.4% of total votes
- United We Can : 13% of the total votes
- Citizens : 16.4% of total votes
- VOX : 12.7% of total votes
What the polls of the General Elections 2019 of eldiario.es say
The predictions on who will win the El Diario 2019 Elections do not differ too much from what the rest of the newspapers dictate.
The study carried out in April again gave rise to the union between the four majority left forces , PSOE, United We Can, ERC and PNV. The right, as in the rest of the polls, does not obtain an absolute majority.
- PSOE : 28.9% of total votes (from 119 to 123 seats)
- PP : 23.5% of total votes (from 93 to 99 seats)
- United We Can : 13.5% of the total votes (from 38 to 40 seats)
- Citizens : 15.1% of the total votes (from 49 to 52 seats)
- VOX : 7.9% of total votes (from 14 to 18 seats)
- ERC : 2.9% of total votes (from 13 to 14 seats)
- JxCat : 1.5% of the total votes (4-5 seats)
- PNV : 1.3% of total votes (6 seats)
- Compromís : 1.3% of the total votes (3 seats)
- In Marea : 1% of the total votes (from 3 to 4 seats)
- PNC : 0.3% of total votes
- Bildu : 0.8% of the total votes (from 2 to 3 seats)
- Others : 0.7% of total votes (3 seats