▷ Latest polls and electoral polls of the 10N after the debate

Image taken from Público.es.

Who will win the 10N Elections? That is the question that millions of Spaniards ask themselves less than a week before the celebration of the new electoral meeting. All in all, the different national studies and newspapers publish their respective electoral polls and polls for the November 10 elections with the aim of shedding some light on the intention of the Spanish to vote.

On this occasion we have compiled several of the most important studies on the national scene - including the CIS barometer - to know the percentage of the vote and the number of seats assigned to each party. Let us remember that 176 seats are required to constitute an absolute majority , a figure that no political party will exceed what is seen in the polls.

CIS Barometer for the November General Elections

The Sociological Research Center is the starting point to find out the voting intention of citizens. The survey published by the Center again forces the PSOE to agree with other parties.

Unlike the rest of the polls that we will see below, PP, United We Can and More Country rise in the polls. On the other hand, Ciudadanos and VOX fell considerably compared to the April elections .

PSOE : 32.2% of the votes (+ 3.5% compared to the April elections)
PP : 18.1% of the votes (+ 1.4% compared to the April elections)
United We Can : 14.6% of the votes (+ 0.3% compared to the April elections)
Citizens : 10.6% of the votes (-5.3% compared to the April elections)
VOX : 7.9% of the votes (-2.4% compared to the April elections)
More Country : 2.9% of the votes (+ 2.2% compared to previous polls)

In number of seats per party, the transition to the Congress of Deputies leaves us with the following figures:

PSOE : from 133 to 150 seats (123 seats in the April elections)
PP : from 74 to 81 seats (66 seats in the April elections)
United We Can : from 37 to 45 seats (42 seats in the April elections)
Citizens : from 27 to 35 seats (57 seats in the April elections)
VOX : 14 to 21 seats (24 seats in the April elections)
More Country : from 3 to 4 seats (without parliamentary representation in the April elections)
ERC : from 16 to 18 seats (15 seats in the April elections)
JxCat : 4 to 6 seats (7 seats in the April elections)
PNV : 6 to 7 seats (6 seats in the April elections)
EH Bildu : 5 seats (4 seats in the April elections)
Navarra Sum : 2 seats (2 seats in the April elections)
Canarian Coalition : 1 to 2 seats (2 seats in the April elections)

Polls for the 10N Elections of El Español

The newspaper El Español, together with the Sociométrica study, published last week the latest polls for the 10N Elections, giving the party of Pedro Sánchez as the winner with 25.1% .

Again the PSOE would be forced to agree with other parties with less representation to obtain an absolute majority. We find the same panorama with the right-wing parties due to the decline of Rivera's party and the progression of the extreme right with VOX.

PSOE : 25.1% of the votes (-3.6% compared to the April elections)
PP : 20.6% of the votes (+ 3.9% compared to the April elections)
United We Can : 12.9% of the votes (-1.4% compared to the April elections)
Citizens : 8.5% of the votes (-7.4% compared to the April elections)
VOX : 14.3% of the votes (+ 4% compared to the April elections)
More Country : 3.9% of the votes (+ 3.2% compared to previous polls)

If we transfer these figures to the number of seats, we find the following roadmap:

PSOE : from 115 to 119 seats (123 seats in the April elections)
PP : from 99 to 103 seats (66 seats in the April elections)
United We Can : from 33 to 35 seats (42 seats in the April elections)
Citizens : from 18 to 20 seats (57 seats in the April elections)
VOX : 37 to 39 seats (24 seats in the April elections)
More Country : from 4 to 5 seats (without representation in the April elections)
ERC : 13-15 seats (15 seats in the April elections)
JxCat : 6 to 7 seats (7 seats in the April elections)
PNV : 6 to 7 seats (6 seats in the April elections)
EH Bildu : 3 to 5 seats (4 seats in the April elections)
Navarra Sum : from 1 to 2 seats (2 seats in the April elections)
Canarian Coalition : 1 to 2 seats (2 seats in the April elections)

Electoral polls for the November 10 2019 Elections of El Mundo

Sigma Dos is the statistical study behind the newspaper El Mundo. With the PSOE at the head, Pedro Sánchez's party would obtain 27.9% of the votes, which would force the red formation to agree with other parties of the left-wing or the right-wing bloc.

As points to be highlighted, the decrease in Citizens in the polls with respect to the April elections to 8.9% and the progression of VOX to 13.2% would give much more strength to Santiago Abascal's party .

PSOE : 27.9% of the votes (-0.8% compared to the April elections)
PP : 20.3% of the votes (+ 3.6% compared to the April elections)
United We Can : 13.5% of the votes (-0.8% compared to the April elections)
Citizens : 8.9% of the votes (-7% compared to the April elections)
VOX : 13.2% of the votes (+ 2.9% compared to the April elections)
More Country : 4% of the votes (+ 3.3% compared to previous polls)

In number of seats, the route time would leave us with a situation similar to the following:

PSOE : 118 to 126 seats (123 seats in the April elections)
PP : from 89 to 97 seats (66 seats in the April elections)
United We Can : from 35 to 40 seats (42 seats in the April elections)
Citizens : from 16 to 19 seats (57 seats in the April elections)
VOX : 39 to 44 seats (24 seats in the April elections)
More Country : from 3 to 4 seats (without representation in the April elections)
ERC : 13-15 seats (15 seats in the April elections)
JxCat : 4 to 6 seats (7 seats in the April elections)
PNV : from 5 to 7 seats (6 seats in the April elections)

Electoral polls for the 10N Elections of El Confidencial

IMOP, the center in charge of conducting studies for El Confidencial, published the latest electoral polls yesterday, with a panorama very similar to the rest of the studies: progress in VOX, decrease in Citizens and a less pronounced decrease in Pablo Iglesias' party. The result of the PSOE, however, is somewhat more optimistic than in other studies.

PSOE : 28% of the votes (-0.7% compared to the April elections)
PP : 19.6% of the votes (+ 2.9% compared to the April elections)
United We Can : 11.5% of the votes (-2.8% compared to the April elections)
Citizens : 10.1% of the votes (-5.8% compared to the April elections)
VOX : 13.9% of the votes (+ 3.6% compared to the April elections)
More Country : 3.3% of the votes (+ 2.6% compared to previous polls)

In number of seats per party, the differences with respect to other studies are practically negligible.

PSOE : 118 to 128 seats (123 seats in the April elections)
PP : from 81 to 90 seats (66 seats in the April elections)
United We Can : 29 to 34 seats (42 seats in the April elections)
Citizens : from 19 to 24 seats (57 seats in the April elections)
VOX : 42 to 50 seats (24 seats in the April elections)
More Country : from 3 to 5 seats (without representation in the April elections)
ERC : from 14 to 16 seats (15 seats in the April elections)
JxCat : 5 to 7 seats (7 seats in the April elections)
PNV : 6 to 7 seats (6 seats in the April elections)
EH Bildu : 3 to 4 seats (4 seats in the April elections)
Navarra Sum : 2 seats (2 seats in the April elections)
Canarian Coalition : 2 seats (2 seats in the April elections)

Latest ABC Election Polls and Polls

The newspaper ABC drinks from the GAD3 center to collect information related to the voting intention of Spanish citizens, and again the outlook is bleak for PSOE, United We Can and Citizens .

In contrast, PP and VOX obtained an increase compared to the April elections of almost 5 percentage points. Despite this, both the left and the right bloc would be forced to agree with other parties, even from different political currents.

PSOE : 27.4% of the votes (-1.3% compared to the April elections)
PP : 21.6% of the votes (+ 4.9% compared to the April elections)
United We Can : 11.2% of the votes (-3.1% compared to the April elections)
Citizens : 8% of the votes (-7.9% compared to the April elections)
VOX : 14.9% of the votes (+ 4.6% compared to the April elections)
More Country : 2.8% of the votes (+ 2.1% compared to previous polls)

If we transfer these figures to the number of seats, we find the following roadmap:

PSOE : from 120 to 123 seats (123 seats in the April elections)
PP : from 92 to 95 seats (66 seats in the April elections)
United We Can : from 28 to 31 seats (42 seats in the April elections)
Citizens : 15 seats (57 seats in the April elections)
VOX : 49 seats (24 seats in the April elections)
More Country : 3 seats (without representation in the April elections)
ERC : 13-14 seats (15 seats in the April elections)
JxCat : 5 to 6 seats (7 seats in the April elections)
PNV : 6 seats (6 seats in the April elections)
EH Bildu : 3 to 4 seats (4 seats in the April elections)
Navarra Sum : 2 seats (2 seats in the April elections)
Canarian Coalition : 1 seats (2 seats in the April elections)

Latest electoral polls from El Periódico

GESOP, in collaboration with El newspaper, published its respective study of voting intention just four days ago, with a trend that mimics that of the rest of the studies. Perhaps the most remarkable thing is the percentage reduction in the decrease in votes in Unidos Podemos and PSOE with only 1% .

In this regard, GESOP is more optimistic than the rest of the studies . Also with the right and far right parties, by designating a greater increase in the polls.

PSOE : 27.7% of the votes (-1% compared to the April elections)
PP : 19.5% of the votes (+ 2.8% compared to the April elections)
United We Can : 13.4% of the votes (-0.9% compared to the April elections)
Citizens : 8% of the votes (-7.9% compared to the April elections)
VOX : 14.2% of the votes (+ 3.9% compared to the April elections)
More Country : 2.6% of the votes (+ 1.9% compared to previous polls)

Transferring the percentages to the number of seats we find the following panorama:

PSOE : 119 to 123 seats (123 seats in the April elections)
PP : from 84 to 87 seats (66 seats in the April elections)
United We Can : from 37 to 41 seats (42 seats in the April elections)
Citizens : from 13 to 17 seats (57 seats in the April elections)
VOX : 49 to 53 seats (24 seats in the April elections)
More Country : 2 to 4 seats (without representation in the April elections)
ERC : 14-15 seats (15 seats in the April elections)
JxCat : 5 to 6 seats (7 seats in the April elections)

All data has been extracted from El Mundo | More information